After reading this
week’s Cisco’s CEO
on Staying Ahead of Technology Shifts,1
regarding how it was able to adapt from its early days of selling switches and
routers in the 1990s to then emerging technologies—wireless, HD video conferencing,
cloud computing and others—in the 2000s, I was reminded of similar efforts
and strategies Cisco implemented to leverage information communication technology
(ICT) as infrastructures for sustainable cities in the mid-2000s.2
The focus of this posting
is to examine dominant players such as Cisco in the context of the Innovator’s Dilemma: Why
Good Companies Fail to Thrive in Fast Moving Industries. For starters, unlike the long list
of major companies that have historically failed due to disruptive technologies,
I think Cisco has managed to survive for a few reasons.
First, in his seminal
book Mr. Christensen makes the case that the root cause as to why otherwise successful
companies fail, has to do with how decisions are made at these organizations and
the timing of such decisions. He asserts that, “…there is something about the
way decisions get made in successful organizations that sows the seeds of
eventual failure.” And, he further contends that sometimes it’s ok for large organizations
to invest in lower margins’ products and smaller market segments, as a way to
cope with unforeseen changes in the marketplace.
Also, I think that Mr.
Christensen’s views resonate with those of Cisco’s Mr. Chambers. The latter
believes that, “For Cisco, each transition required a decision about when to
jump from selling a profitable product to a new technology—often one that would
cannibalize our existing product line.”1
Second, under Chamber’s
leadership Cisco has been able to adapt to market changes and “stay ahead of the
curve” by developing technologies in-house or by investing in R&D or by acquisition
of companies of emerging and networking technologies they didn’t already have. However,
growing through acquisition is nothing new for Cisco.
So, leading to the
dot-com bubble in 2001 when its value declined 86% from a market capitalization
of $555 billion in 2000, it had reached that high by acquiring a number of key
players in the security space, cloud services, smart grid, wireless and video
and many others.2 Then the introduction of initiatives such as TelePresence
in 2006 and “Connected Urban Development” enabled it to further its efforts on smart
cities with a focus on environmental sustainability in emerging and developed
economies through its Smart+Connected Communities framework.
Now, fast forward
to June 2018 regarding the merger of AT&T and Time Warner,
as recently reported in the media, the traditional strategy of merger and
acquisition came up.3 An WSJ article indicated that, “Mr. Whitacre [a
former AT&T executive] was a deal maker, building the modern AT&T from
a regional player into a supersize phone giant by gobbling up company after
company. While he says there was no less pressure during his time to pursue
acquisitions, there has been a shift in the way empires are built.”3
Finally, like
Chamber’s notion of companies “disrupting themselves,” this WSJ article discusses
the need for companies being able to reinvent themselves by exploring new lines
of business—beyond their core businesses. So, Cisco’s ability to anticipating such
radical shifts, has enabled it to remain a dominant player in the industries
it operates.
1.
Cisco’s CEO on Staying Ahead of Technology Shifts: https://hbr.org/2015/05/ciscos-ceo-on-staying-ahead-oftechnology-shifts,
Harvard Business Review, May 2015, accessed June 17, 2018.
2.
Cisco’s Vision: A Smart+Connected Word, Ivey Publishing, Case Western
Reserve University, December 2013.
3.
Why Companies Have the Urge to Merge: https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-companies-have-the-urge-to-merge-1529078814?mod=searchresults&page=1&pos=3&mod=article_inline,
accessed June 17, 2018.
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